Ziraat Times Weather Monitoring

Srinagar, Feb 3: Widespread snowfall and rainfall across Kashmir, Jammu and Ladakh regions are likely between February 4 to 7, as a fresh sub-tropical weather system or “western disturbance” is expected to hit the state starting Monday, Feb 4, according to weather data analysis by Ziraat Times.

Outlook for February 4 to 7:

On Monday, Feb 4, heavy snowfall would be witnessed across Afghanistan, northern parts of J&K, including Gilgit-Baltistan, parts of Kargil, Zanaskar valley and Ladakh mountains. This spell is likely to result in a big dip in daytime temperatures across the region.

On Tuesday, Feb 5, the outer and inner Himalayas, including Kargil, Zanaskar valley, Kishtwar, Doda and Bhaderwah regions would receive moderate to heavy snowfall. Late Tuesday, there is a good possibility of snowfall across Pirpanjal mountains in Kashmir valley, including Gulmarg, Yusmarg, upper Kandi Baramulla, Razdan Pass and Gurez.

The main precipitation in Kashmir valley, Jammu and Ladakh would be on Wednesday, Feb 6. While heavy rains are likely in plains of Jammu, most parts of Kashmir valley are likely to witness snowfall and rains. On this day, unusually heavy rains are also likely across north India, including Delhi, Haryana, Punjab and snowfall in Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand.

While snowfall and rains are likely to continue over most parts of J&K on Thursday, Feb 7, the cloud system is expected to be stronger in south of J&K, resulting in unusually very heavy rainfall in Jammu plains, heavy snowfall in south Kashmir areas, Chenab valley areas of Doda, upper Kishtwar, Banihal and Bhaderwah.  Heavy snowfall in Himachal and Uttarakhand as well.

How intense would be snowfall in Kashmir valley?

At this stage, the maximum ground temperature outlook for Kashmir valley plains is likely to remain around  4 degree C, meaning there is higher possibility of rains than snow in the plains. However, if the ground temperature goes down between 0-2 degrees, moderate to heavy snowfall would occur in Kashmir plains as well on Wednesday and Thursday.

Snowfall and rainfall activity will subside across J&K late Thursday. 

Note: This weather forecast/advisory is issued by Ziraat Times in the interest of farmers and general public based on the analysis of multi weather data, including dynamic and ultraviolet  satellite imagery, super computer-generated direction and speed of winds associated with the sub-tropical jet, temperature variations within Jammu & Kashmir, sub-regions and neighbouring regions, past weather data and weather patterns. While maximum care is taken in generating this information, and most times our forecasts are accurate; due to the rapidly-changing nature of winds, temperatures, humidity and local cloud formation, at times the forecast might change. We advise discretion in using this information.

Photo by: Taj Irshad